2023 mlb hall of fame predictions

Theres been a bit of a logjam on the ballot in recent years, with Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens and Curt Schilling receiving sizable shares of the vote without being elected. For information on how to sponsor a Hugs for Cubs kid in 2023, visit www.sbforesters.org or write to [email protected]. Candidates remain on the BBWAA ballot for 10 years provided they are not elected and they are named on at least five percent of all ballots cast each year. But the just-released nominees for the 2023 class are in a tier all their own. Based purely on his performance from his career statistics and accolades he would be one of the best cases on the ballot this year. Sixth year on the ballotPlayed 24 seasons with Mariners, Indians, Giants, Rangers, White Sox and Blue JaysThree-time All-Star (1998-99, 2002)11-time Gold Glove Award winner at shortstop (1993-2001, 2005-06), the second-most among all shortstopsIn 2006 at 39 years old, became the oldest infielder to win a Gold Glove AwardCareer leader in defensive games at shortstop with 2,709Led his league in fielding percentage among shortstops six times (1992, 1998, 2000-01, 2005-06) and is the all-time leader in fielding percentage at the position with a mark of .9847Shares record for fewest errors by a shortstop (three, tied with Cal Ripken Jr.) with at least 150 games played in one seasonReached the .300 batting mark in 1999 with career-best .333 averageTopped 100 runs scored mark twice (1999-2000) and stole 20-or-more bases in eight seasons (1995-2000, 2005-06)Led his league in sacrifice hits four times (1997, 1999, 2004-05)Led his league in double plays turned at shortstop once (1993) and putouts at shortstop once (1998)Ranks first all-time in double plays turned at shortstop (1,734), first in career fielding percentage at shortstop (.985), third in career assists at shortstop (7,676) and 11th in career putouts at shortstop (4,102)Ranks 13th all-time in games played (2,968), 17th in singles (2,264), 18th in at-bats (10,586), 44th in hits (2,877) and 72nd in stolen bases (404)Appeared in 11 Postseason series over six seasons, batting .250 with 28 runs scored and 23 stolen bases in 57 gamesMember of Indians 1995 and 1997 American League Championship teamsWon 1996 Hutch Award. For reasons that escape me, there is a sanctity associated with making the Hall of Fame on the first ballot. As the keepers of the Games history, the Hall of Fame helps you relive your memories and celebrate baseball history. Somewhat surprisingly, over his career, Rolen posted the same bWAR as did Beltrn: 70.1. MORE:MLB Power Rankings, post All-Star Break edition. What Will a 49ers Takeover Mean at Leeds? (Brad Mangin/National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). Newcomers on the ballot in 2023 will feature Carlos Beltran, John Lackey and Jered Weaver. That, in turn, leads to another problem, one exemplified by the unanimous election of Fred McGriff by the Contemporary Era committee, which consists of former players and former or current executives and others inside the game: The writers and the Hall of Fame members are not on the same page on who should be elected to the Hall of Fame. The following article is part of Jay Jaffe's ongoing look at the candidates on the BBWAA 2023 Hall of Fame ballot. Carlos Beltran and Francisco Rodriguez are the most compelling names. A dude named Ryan Thibodaux tracks Hall of Fame ballots, and right now, Rolen is on 81% of them with 31% of the ballots turned in. First year on the ballotPitched 15 seasons for Angels, Red Sox, Cardinals and CubsPosted double-digit win totals in all but one season his rookie year of 2002, when he went 9-4 and finished fourth in the AL Rookie of the Year voting while helping the Angels win the World SeriesReceived Cy Young Award votes in two seasons: 2007 (3rd) and 2015 (9th)Named to 2007 All-Star Game in a season where he led the American League in ERA (3.01) and shutouts (two)Also led AL with two shutouts in 2003 and 2006Topped 200-innings pitched mark in six seasons (2003, 2005-07, 2010, 2015)Appeared in 19 Postseason series over 10 seasons (9 LDS, 7 LCS and 3 World Series), posting 8-6 record with 3.44 ERAMember of three World Series-winning teams: 2002 Angels (when he started and won Game 7), 2013 Red Sox and 2016 Cubs. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. The third baseman has had a meteoric rise since debuting at 10.2. Previously a sports researcher at Sky Sports, he then moved into live broadcasts and on-air promotions. Let's take a look at the cases of the 28 players who are hoping to achieve immortality. Beltrn is one of the strongest names on an otherwise weak ballot and under any other normal circumstances he would most likely be a sure thing to make it in. The first, and most obvious, label of excellence was his abilities in the field. (Duane. That is [checks math] 100% of the ballot. As the nine-time All-Star enters his second-to-last year on the ballot, voters are beginning to look more favorably at the prospect of Sheffield as a member of the Hall of Fame. He also drew over 100 walks in a season on five separate occasions. He resides in the UK and is now a media officer for a professional English soccer team. Eli Manning, QB New York Giants (2004-2019) Manning is one of the most polarizing Hall of Fame candidates in recent memory. Arizona Diamondbacks. He hit more than 500 homers in his career, walked more than he struck out, finished with a 141 wRC+ (tied with Albert Pujols, Chipper Jones, and Alex Rodriguez for the 10th-highest among players with at least 10,000 plate appearances since integration in 1947), and claimed accolades such as five Silver Slugger Awards, three top-three MVP Award finishes, and the 1992 batting title. His connection to performance-enhancing drugs could keep his vote totals low, though hes another candidate who may benefit from Bonds, Clemens and Schilling falling off the BBWAA ballot. He finished his career with eight Gold Gloves at the hot corner and one Silver Slugger. While unofficial, these are some of the top players Baseball Reference lists as potentially making the ballot next year. Sheffield was a wee bit of a liability in the field (Baseball-Reference docks 27.7 WAR for his, uh, lack of defense), but man, could he hit. Bobby Abreu drove in 100 or more runs eight times, scored 100 or more runs eight times and drew 100 or more walks eight times. All-Star outfielder and five-time Silver Slugger Award winner Gary Sheffield, who garnered 40.6 percent of the vote on the last ballot, is in his ninth year of eligibility. Seriously: if hes in the Hall of Fame (which he is and has been since 2017), then guys like Mark McGwire, Sammy Sosa, Barry Bonds, Alex Rodriguez, Manny Ramirez, Rafael Palmeiro, etc. Thankfully, the Hall of Fame may eventually fix such a wrong, but the BBWAA owes it to the sport, players, and fans to get it right the first time around. He posted 60.2 bWAR. Guys like A-Rod and Manny have no shot. He topped the 200-innings pitched mark in six seasons and was a member of three World Series-winning teams: 2002 Angels (when he started and won Game 7), 2013 Red Sox and 2016 Cubs. An all-around superstar, he hit 435 home runs, stole 312 bases, won three Gold Glove Awards in center field and made nine All-Star teams. The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. Whoever gets the nod will be inducted, alongside Fred McGriff (more on him later), on July 23rd. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. He led his league in starts every year from 2012-2014. That's more than Hall of Famers Ryne Sandberg (277), Joe Morgan (266) and . Predicting Hall of Famers with Machine Learning by Ryan Pollack January 13, 2022 The questions of who should and who will make it into the Baseball Hall of Fame have inspired countless. Published July 26, 2022. A big issue with this line of thinking is that it would mean he would be a Hall-of-Famer if he just retired at 30, which makes no sense. The group is headlined by Scott Rolen, who was second percentage-wise in voting in 2022. * 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Rolen's stock has gone up every year he has been on it, while other players could pick up precious votes. Jake Crumpler: Hall of Fame voters have not been kind to recent first-time entrants, but among this years light crop of first-timers, Beltrn clearly has the strongest case to be elected on his first ballot. Heltons 132 wRC+ which is a park adjusted stat that measures a hitters run-producing ability is on par with Hall-of-Famers Rickey Henderson, George Brett, Wade Boggs, Billy Williams, and Tony Gwynn and better than Hall-of-Famers like Ken Griffey Jr., Carl Yastrzemski, and Orlando Cepeda. Making picks and predictions for the 2023 Hall of Fame class while looking at some problems about the whole process. His peak year was 2004 when he hit career-highs in average (.314), homers (34), and RBI (124), and he also hit an impressive .421 in the 2006 World Series win over the Detroit Tigers en route to claiming his only championship ring. Jones is far superior in the extra-base hit category to Smith with 853 compared to Smiths 499 in almost 400 fewer games than Smith. His on-field prowess over a 20-year MLB career is hard to argue against. (Brad Mangin/Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). Matt Partridge: Other than Beltrn, no name leaps off the page to me as a first-time calibre entrant, but when you dig a little deeper and begin to consider factors such as longevity, clutch, reliability, and regular performances on the center-stage, my vote would go to John Lackey. After further impressive performances during 2014 and 2015, this time as a Cardinal, Lackey then signed for the division rival Chicago Cubs in 2016 and put together a 13th consecutive double-digit win total that helped propel the Cubs to end their 108-year championship drought and secure a third World Series ring for Lackey. That's a lot for the 2023 deadline to live up to. Writers can select up to 10 players on their ballot. Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens and Curt Schilling are all off the BBWAA ballot after passing through their 10th and final year of eligibility without being elected to Cooperstown. The player with the best shot is Scott Rolen. Whoever gets the nod will be inducted, alongside Fred McGriff (more on him. In addition to that he did damage away from Coors with a career .855 road OPS which is greater than Tony Gwynns career OPS. David Ortiz (-500) and Alex Rodriguez (-150) are favorites to be voted into Cooperstown. It could determine if he's destined to follow in the footsteps of Bonds, Clemensand Schilling. Privacy Statement/Your California Privacy Rights. Wagner, who recorded 422 saves and averaged 11.9 strikeouts per nine innings, has made steady gains in the last few election cycles. (Brad Mangin/National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). Bonds, Clemens and Schilling will all be considered for the Hall of Fame Class of 2023 by the Contemporary Baseball Era Players Committee. Call it the Bud Selig Wing for all I care. Jake mentioned it earlier that according to JAWS hes the ninth-most Hall of Fame-worthy center fielder ever ahead of some Hall members like Andre Dawson and Richie Ashburn. 2024:Adran Beltr, Joe Mauer,. 2023 BBWAA Ballot The most anticipated moment of the new year the Baseball Writers' Association of America Hall of Fame election is right around the corner. Eighth year on the ballotPitched 16 seasons with Astros, Phillies, Mets, Red Sox and BravesFinished Top 10 in NL Cy Young Award voting twice (1999-4th, 2006-6th)Recorded 422 career saves, second-highest among left-handed relievers and sixth overallCareer walks-plus-hits-per-innings-pitched ratio (WHIP) of 0.998 is lowest among all retired relievers with at least 700 innings pitchedCareer 2.31 ERA is lowest among retired left-handed pitchers with at least 500 innings pitched in live ball eraSeven-time All-Star (1999, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2007-08, 2010)Won 1999 NL Rolaids Relief AwardLed NL in games finished twice (2003, 2005), and finished among league top five in saves four times (1999, 2003, 2006, 2010)Set record (since surpassed) for highest single-season-strikeout-per-nine innings rate among relievers (14.95) in 1999Recorded 12 seasons with 20-plus saves, nine seasons with 30-or-more and two with 40-or more (2003, 2006)Finished no-hitter that included six Astros pitchers vs. Yankees on June 11, 2003 Appeared in eight Postseason series over seven seasons with Astros, Mets, Red Sox and Braves, posting 1-1 record with three saves and 10.03 ERA in 14 games. Most of our predictions are about things that will happen during the 2023 MLB season, of course. Pre-planned trips from travel specialists. The Baseball Writers Association of America revealed the newest ballot on Monday. . Way-way-too-early 2023 MLB All-Stars: Predicting full rosters for both the AL and NL. The remaining returning candidates are Manny Ramirez (28.9 percent last year, seventh ballot in 2023), Omar Vizquel (23.9 percent, sixth ballot), Andy Pettitte (10.7 percent, fifth ballot), Jimmy Rollins (9.4 percent, second ballot), Bobby Abreu (8.6 percent, fourth ballot), Mark Buehrle (5.8 percent, third ballot) and Torii Hunter (5.3 percent, third ballot). Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. More Awards Pages Awards Index MVP Cy Young Batting Champs Triple Crowns Gold Gloves National League American League The Royals may be in the market for a third catcher. And here they come in my Five Things to Watch on the 2023 Hall of Fame ballot. K-Rods career ERA was 2.86 and his WHIP was 1.15. known to baseball fans as "Stan the Man, " died 10 years ago this week. When you look at the current ballot, there are Hall of Famers on there. Just for good measure, he drew 103 walks that year as well. (Ryan McKee, Rich Clarkson, and Associates). Matt Partridge: It is without question that these two names would even feature on a second year ballot list if they were judged on their ball-playing resume alone. A true multi-tool player, he announced his arrival with an American League Rookie of the Year accolade in 1999, scooping three Gold Glove Awards, two Silver Slugger Awards, and no less than nine All-Star selections en route to a career .279 batting average, culminating in a World Series win in 2017 whilst playing for the Houston Astros. Whether or not the voters take into account the Houston Astros cheating scandal will be the biggest topic of discussion. A voting member can vote for up to 10 players. On January 24th, the Baseball Writers' Association of America will unveil what players they've chosen for Cooperstown. Rolen is in his sixth year of eligibility (candidates are on the ballot for up to 10 years), while Helton is on his fifth and Wagner is on his eighth. Im not one to be beholden to the morals clause or whatever the Hall sanctimoniously calls it, but I think that clause would have to be more than just he wasnt nice. And I think thats what is keeping Kent out. Yes, yes, I know all about why he wont get in, but its really odd to keep a guy out just because hes sort of owning the Timberwolves. 2023 Hockey Hall of Fame predictions: 6 players who should get the call. No, the former Pirates and Mets outfielder of the same name from 1951 to 1966 has passed away. 2024: Adran Beltr, Joe Mauer . However, looking more closely at Buehles career, I scrapped the idea, and left my ballot at nine. Andre Ethier played 12 seasons, all with the Dodgers. (The Baseball Hall of Fame determines which team the player will represent with his ballcap, so I make guesses there, as well.) (Los Angeles Angles). Davis Byrd: No name jumps off the page past Beltrn immediately and none of the first timers will be elected this year. Beltrn might be the only 2022-23 newcomer with a realistic chance at becoming a Hall of Famer, whether it's on the first ballot or later. There was something of a logjam in Hall of Fame voting in recent years, but with Bonds, Clemens, Schilling and Sammy Sosa all leaving the ballot, and David Ortiz being elected on his first ballot in 2022, that could clear the way for other players to gain ground in the voting. Bronson Arroyo pitched in 16 seasons with the Pirates, Red Sox, Reds and Diamondbacks. FanSided.com FanSided MLB Sites Among the players returning to the BBWAA ballot, Scott Rolen received votes on 63.2 percent of all ballots cast in 2022 the most of any returnee. (National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum). Other notable first-timers are Huston Street, Matt Cain, John Lackey, R.A. Dickey, Jered Weaver, Bronson Arroyo, Jacoby Ellsbury, Andre Ethier, Mike Napoli, Jhonny Peralta, J.J. Hardy and Jayson Werth. Our reasoning for presenting offensive logos. There are multiple angles from which to analyze the career of Jones. Tenth-and-final year on the ballotPlayed 17 seasons with the Blue Jays, Mets, Indians, Giants, Astros and DodgersNamed to five All-Star Games (1999-2001, 2004-05)Won four Silver Slugger Awards at second base (2000-02, 2005)Named 2000 National League Most Valuable Player and finished in Top 10 of NL MVP voting in three other seasons: 1997 (8th), 1998 (9th), 2002 (6th)Hit .300-or-better in three seasons (2000, 2002, 2007)Drove in 100-or-more runs eight times (1997-2002, 2004-05) and scored 100-or-more runs three times (2000, 2002, 2005)Hit 20-or-more homers in 12 seasons and reached the 30-homer mark three times (1998, 2000, 2002)Led NL in extra base hits once (2002-81) and in sacrifice flys twice (1998-10; 2001-13)Defensively, led all NL second basemen in assists once (2001-390) and double plays once (2002-113)Tied for 30th on career doubles list (560) and ranks 54th on career RBI list (1,518)His 351 home runs as a second baseman are most ever at the positionPosted eight seasons with 20 home runs and 100 RBI, the most by any 2B in MLB historyAppeared in 49 Postseason games over 11 series, hitting .276 with nine home runs, 25 runs scored and 23 RBIMember of Giants 2002 National League Championship team. After a 41.4% showing in 2022, a clearer ballot (no Ortiz, Bonds, Clemens, or Schilling) could pave the way for Jones being elected as part of the 2023 class. Three other players accomplished this that year, with Luis Gonzalez, Sammy Sosa, and Barry Bonds in that company. Helton posted an even higher OPS (.953) than did Beltran while patrolling first base for the Rockies for a whopping 17 years. The 2022 Hall of Fame class was loaded. Two-time All-Star and three-time Gold Glove Award winner J.J. Hardy led the league in fielding percentage three times and double plays twice. Manny Ramrez was a 12-time All-Star and nine-time Silver Slugger Award winner as an outfielder. Although only receiving 10.2% in his first year (2018, the year fellow 3rd baseman Chipper Jones stormed into the HOF with 97.2% on his first attempt), Rolen has seen his stock steadily climb as he hit 63.2% in 2022. January 17, 2023 | 00:06:30. Starting off with the only player of the group who starred for the Royals seems right. 2022-23 NBA MVP Is Officially A Five-Man Race. 1. This is essential to Jones case because of his late-career drop off due to injuries, and it reveals the otherworldly excellence of his peak. Outside of his many awards and achievements, the former outfielder boasts an impressive resume as one of the best switch-hitters in Major League history. Rolen started his Hall of Fame process with limited support (he received just 10.2% of the vote in 2018, his first year on the ballot) due to lighter career counting numbers than most inductees, but his two-way excellence is earning more recognition by the year. Rolen dashed out of the gates with the Phillies, winning Rookie of the Year in 1997, and then saw his star grow even brighter after a trade to the Cardinals in 2002. But that doesn't mean their Hall of Fame chances are over. BetUS has posted odds on who will make the Major League Baseball Hall of Fame in 2022. John Lackey will be one of the more interesting first-time candidates in 2023. 1 of 2. His career total of 437 saves ranks fourth all-time and his 948 games ranks 21st. Since advanced fielding metrics began being recorded in 2002, Jones is the all-time leader in UZR/150 (the number of runs above or below average a fielder is, per 150 defensive games) by a wide margin, and by then he had already won four Gold Glove Awards. He finished his career with 434 homers, and if not for an early retirement after his age-35 campaign, would have surpassed the 500 home run threshold. Will familiar names like Scott Rolen, Todd Helton, and Billy Wagner break through this year? Undoubtedly, the link to steroid abuse looms large for three-time AL MVP A-Rod and Manny with his career .996 OPS. Barry Bonds (260 votes, 66%), Roger Clemens (257, 65.2%), Curt Schilling (231, 58.6%), and Sammy Sosa (73, 18.5%) accounted for a huge number of votes, but they . Derek Jeter is a lock, and Ted Simmons and . That means 2023 marks the earliest date that Wade, Nowitzki, and Parker can be inducted in the HOF. Beltrn probably wont make it this year, but should eventually. Kent, a career .290 hitter, holds the all-time record for most home runs by a second baseman with 351 (out of 377). For his career, he was worth 62.8 bWAR while going to five All-Star Games, winning one Silver Slugger, and capturing 10 Gold Gloves in a row. Jones has a very clear Hall of Fame resume. Helton is looking to follow the trajectory of his Rockies teammate Larry Walker, who was elected to the Hall of Fame in his final year of eligibility in 2020. Jones 111 OPS+ is much better than Smiths 87. His career bWAR of 62.7 is the 14th-most recorded by a center fielder and his JAWS score of 54.6 places him as the 11th-most deserving of enshrinement at his position. One of the best switch-hitters of all time, Beltrn starred for the Royals, Astros, Mets, Giants, Cardinals and Yankees. Let me just say this: if Bud Selig is in the Hall of Fame, then so should Alex Rodriguez (as well as a host of other players). Wade, Nowitzki, and left my ballot at nine he did damage away from with. 6 players who are hoping to achieve immortality things to Watch on the,., Giants, Cardinals and Yankees debuting at 10.2 is now a media officer for a whopping 17 years info... However, looking more closely at Buehles career, I scrapped the idea, and obvious. Switch-Hitters of all time, Beltrn starred for the 2023 deadline to live up 10... Probably wont make it this year, but should eventually on him later ), Morgan... A 12-time All-Star and three-time Gold Glove Award winner J.J. 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2023 mlb hall of fame predictions